2020 Election Predictions

Here is the list of the democratic candidates as on 11/30/2019. I have listed them in the order I predict they will exit the race along with my prediction for the general election against Donald Trump.

Michael Bennet
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Cory Booker
Steve Bullock
Pete Buttigieg
Julián Castro
John Delaney
Tulsi Gabbard
Kamala Harris
Amy Klobuchar
Deval Patrick
Bernie Sanders
Joe Sestak
Tom Steyer
Elizabeth Warren
Marianne Williamson
Andrew Yang

Important Election Dates

February 3: Iowa caucuses

February 11: New Hampshire primary

February 22: Nevada Democratic caucuses

February 29: South Carolina Democratic presidential primary

March 2020
March 3 (Super Tuesday):
Alabama primary,
American Samoa Democratic caucuses,
Arkansas primary,
California primary,
Colorado primary,
Maine primary,
Massachusetts primary,
Minnesota primary,
North Carolina primary,
Oklahoma primary,
Tennessee primary,
Texas primary,
Utah primary,
Vermont primary,
Virginia Democratic primary

March 3-10: Democrats Abroad primary

March 8: Puerto Rico Republican primary

March 10: Hawaii Republican caucuses,
Idaho primary,
Michigan primary,
Mississippi primary,
Missouri primary,
North Dakota Democratic caucuses,
Washington primary

March 12: Virgin Islands Republican caucuses

March 14:
District of Columbia Republican caucuses,
Guam Republican convention,
Northern Mariana Islands Democratic convention

March 17:
Arizona Democratic primary,
Florida primary,
Illinois primary,
Ohio primary,
Northern Mariana Islands Republican caucuses

March 24:
American Samoa Republican caucuses,
Georgia primary

March 27-29:
North Dakota Republican state convention

March 29:
Puerto Rico Democratic primary

April 3-5: North Dakota Republican caucuses

April 4:
Alaska Democratic caucuses,
Hawaii Democratic caucuses,
Louisiana primary,
Wyoming Democratic caucuses

April 7:
Wisconsin primary

April 28:
Connecticut primary,
Delaware primary,
Maryland primary,
New York primary,
Pennsylvania primary,
Rhode Island primary

May 2:
Guam Democratic caucuses,
Kansas Democratic primary

May 5:
Indiana primary

May 12:
Nebraska primary,
West Virginia primary

May 19:
Kentucky primary,
Oregon primary

June 2:
District of Columbia Democratic primary,
Montana primary,
New Jersey primary,
New Mexico primary,
South Dakota primary

June 6:
Virgin Islands Democratic caucuses

July 13-16: Democratic National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

August 24-27: Republican National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina

September 29: First general election presidential debate at the University of Notre Dame in Notre Dame, Indiana

October 7: Vice presidential debate at University of Utah in Salt Lake City, Utah

October 15: Second general election presidential debate at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, Michigan

October 22: Third general election presidential debate at Belmont University in Nashville, Tennessee

Here are a few that never really got started. Michael Bennet 11-Feb-2020 OUT, Wayne Messam 20-Nov-2019 OUT, Beto O’Rourke 01-Nov-2019 OUT, Tim Ryan 24-Oct-2019 OUT, Bill deBlasio, Kristen Gillibrand 28-Aug-2019 OUT, Seth Moulton 23-Aut-2019 OUT, Jay Inslee 21-Aug-2019 OUT, John Hickenlooper Aug-2019 OUT, Mike Gravel Aug-2019 OUT, Eric Swalwell July-2019 OUT, Richard Ojeda Jan-2020 OUT

Predictions

First NameLast Name Date will Exit the Race Date Actually Exited the Race
SteveBullock3-Feb 2-Dec-2019 OUT
JohnDelaney3-Feb 3-Jan-202 OUT
JoeSestak3-Feb 01-Dec-2019
TomSteyer3-Feb 01-Mar-2020 OUT
CoryBooker12-Feb 13-Jan-2020 OUT
JuliánCastro12-Feb 02-Jan-2020 OUT
TulsiGabbard12-Feb Does it Matter?
KamalaHarris12-Feb 03-Dec-2019 OUT
DevalPatrick12-Feb Was he ever in it?
MarianneWilliamson12-Feb 10-Jan-2020 OUT
AmyKlobuchar12-Mar 02-Mar-2020 OUT
AndrewYang5-Apr 02-Feb-2020 OUT
JoeBiden30-Apr
MichaelBloomberg1-May 04-Mar-2020 OUT
BernieSandersThird – three weeks before convention
ElizabethWarrenSecond- Will concede at the convention 05-MAR-2020 OUT
PeteButtigiegWinner 01-Mar-2020 OUT

November 3: General election (Pete Buttigieg will defeat Donald Trump )

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